Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.108874 0.129053 0.151636 0.178742 0.210350 0.246001 0.289217
2025-02-02 0.078451 0.104617 0.137199 0.180563 0.236564 0.306223 0.399197
2025-02-09 0.060198 0.088215 0.126183 0.180993 0.257608 0.360337 0.507844
2025-02-16 0.048874 0.077529 0.119210 0.183562 0.279549 0.416344 0.624679
2025-02-23 0.041924 0.071244 0.116578 0.190722 0.307588 0.482926 0.763470
2025-03-02 0.034030 0.061692 0.106976 0.185105 0.314678 0.518450 0.859465
2025-03-09 0.028985 0.055729 0.101832 0.185296 0.330152 0.567683 0.981289
2025-03-16 0.024517 0.049848 0.095705 0.182567 0.339864 0.608023 1.092432
2025-03-23 0.021871 0.046798 0.093974 0.187067 0.362219 0.671384 1.248453
2025-03-30 0.018923 0.042580 0.089350 0.185407 0.372975 0.715386 1.374988
2025-04-06 0.016179 0.038244 0.083765 0.180961 0.377685 0.748623 1.485099
2025-04-13 0.013757 0.034129 0.077942 0.175087 0.378652 0.774633 1.583955
2025-04-20 0.012459 0.032347 0.076816 0.178944 0.399956 0.842435 1.771256
2025-04-27 0.011203 0.030429 0.075105 0.181326 0.418575 0.907108 1.959617
2025-05-04 0.009990 0.028372 0.072743 0.181890 0.433318 0.965425 2.141111
2025-05-11 0.009059 0.026851 0.071378 0.184502 0.452806 1.035454 2.353662
2025-05-18 0.008485 0.026168 0.071930 0.191704 0.483499 1.132295 2.632251
2025-05-25 0.007340 0.023660 0.067493 0.186062 0.483577 1.162459 2.769580
2025-06-01 0.006608 0.022190 0.065501 0.186254 0.497547 1.224849 2.984061
2025-06-08 0.005847 0.020470 0.062551 0.183512 0.503919 1.270447 3.164850
2025-06-15 0.005444 0.019781 0.062338 0.188034 0.529097 1.362289 3.460863
2025-06-22 0.004873 0.018425 0.059998 0.186366 0.538071 1.416369 3.673008
2025-06-29 0.004286 0.016880 0.056836 0.181898 0.539055 1.451049 3.841803